Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000537 0.000611 0.000690 0.000779 0.000878 0.000983 0.001104
2026-02-01 0.000420 0.000523 0.000638 0.000779 0.000943 0.001128 0.001352
2026-02-08 0.000345 0.000456 0.000588 0.000755 0.000958 0.001196 0.001492
2026-02-15 0.000289 0.000405 0.000548 0.000736 0.000972 0.001257 0.001624
2026-02-22 0.000252 0.000371 0.000524 0.000731 0.001000 0.001332 0.001770
2026-03-01 0.000223 0.000344 0.000505 0.000730 0.001029 0.001407 0.001915
2026-03-08 0.000196 0.000317 0.000482 0.000720 0.001044 0.001464 0.002038
2026-03-15 0.000173 0.000291 0.000459 0.000708 0.001054 0.001512 0.002148
2026-03-22 0.000161 0.000283 0.000460 0.000726 0.001106 0.001616 0.002334
2026-03-29 0.000149 0.000271 0.000455 0.000737 0.001146 0.001704 0.002501
2026-04-05 0.000134 0.000253 0.000438 0.000728 0.001159 0.001754 0.002617
2026-04-12 0.000120 0.000237 0.000422 0.000720 0.001170 0.001802 0.002731
2026-04-19 0.000111 0.000227 0.000416 0.000727 0.001205 0.001884 0.002895
2026-04-26 0.000101 0.000216 0.000407 0.000728 0.001230 0.001954 0.003044
2026-05-03 0.000088 0.000197 0.000384 0.000705 0.001217 0.001968 0.003112
2026-05-10 0.000078 0.000181 0.000364 0.000687 0.001211 0.001990 0.003192
2026-05-17 0.000070 0.000171 0.000354 0.000683 0.001225 0.002042 0.003317
2026-05-24 0.000064 0.000162 0.000346 0.000682 0.001244 0.002101 0.003452
2026-05-31 0.000058 0.000152 0.000333 0.000672 0.001249 0.002139 0.003557
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000142 0.000320 0.000661 0.001249 0.002170 0.003651
2026-06-14 0.000049 0.000140 0.000323 0.000678 0.001299 0.002277 0.003863
2026-06-21 0.000046 0.000137 0.000322 0.000688 0.001335 0.002365 0.004046
2026-06-28 0.000042 0.000129 0.000312 0.000680 0.001341 0.002405 0.004156